Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3087
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
OO 3087 · MFR → SEA
departs 1:27 PM PT · arrives 2:55 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 17%
Thu 10/1 12%
Fri 10/2 16%
Sat 10/3 17%
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±1 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave MFR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,000 ft forecast at SEA that day
↑
SEA is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MFR
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MFR (origin)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.