Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3346 LANDED 4:11 PM PT, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29

OO 3346 · MRY → SAN

took off 3:09 PM PT · landed 4:11 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±1 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ SAN is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into SAN at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at MRY that day

Weather at each end

MRY (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

SAN (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3346 · MRY → SAN

Odds over time