Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3420 LANDED 12:47 PM PT, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29

OO 3420 · SFO → PSP

took off 11:41 AM PT · landed 12:47 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at PSP more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from SFO are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PSP (destination) Gusts34 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3420 · SFO → PSP

Odds over time