OO 3704 · LAX → ASE

departs 5:12 PM PT · arrives 8:25 PM MT

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±1 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ASE?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at ASE

↑ 5pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ASE (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3704 · LAX → ASE

Odds over time

How late will it get to ASE?