Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3712 SCHEDULED

Tuesday, September 29 Today

OO 3712 · SMF → LAX

departs 6:55 PM PT · arrives 8:39 PM PT

Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↑ 6pm departures from SMF are often late

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ This flight has been late 12% of the time recently

Weather at each end

SMF (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3712 · SMF → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?