Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3909 LANDED 11:31 PM ET, ~16 MIN EARLY

Tuesday, September 29

OO 3909 · DTW → AZO

took off 11:05 PM ET · landed 11:31 PM ET (scheduled 10:55 PM ET → 11:51 PM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at AZO more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to AZO?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ 10pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

AZO (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility1.75 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3909 · DTW → AZO

Odds over time

How late did it get to AZO?