OO 4105 · SLC → EUG

took off 3:09 PM MT · expected to land 3:38 PM PT (scheduled 3:02 PM MT → 4:02 PM PT)

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at EUG more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to EUG?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SLC is busy at that time

↑ Arrivals into EUG at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SLC (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

EUG (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling4,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4105 · SLC → EUG

Odds over time

How late will it get to EUG?