OO 4618 · TUS → SLC

departs 9:03 PM MT · arrives 12:12 AM MT

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SLC at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ This flight has been late 6% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

TUS (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.35 in

SLC (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4618 · TUS → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?