Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4630 LANDED 2:23 PM MT, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

OO 4630 · MOT → DEN

took off 1:48 PM CT · landed 2:23 PM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MOT that day

↑ Other factors

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↓ MOT usually runs smoothly

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MOT (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precip0.35 in

DEN (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4630 · MOT → DEN

Odds over time