OO 4725 · ORD → GRB

took off 10:26 PM CT · landed 11:00 PM CT (scheduled 10:15 PM CT → 11:34 PM CT)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at GRB more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±2 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late did it get to GRB?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at GRB

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ GRB usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

GRB (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4725 · ORD → GRB

Odds over time

How late did it get to GRB?