Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4753 LANDED 7:27 PM PT, ~13 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

OO 4753 · SFO → BFL

took off 6:39 PM PT · landed 7:27 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at BFL more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ 6pm departures from SFO are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BFL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4753 · SFO → BFL

Odds over time