Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4836 LANDED 3:13 PM CT, ~3 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

OO 4836 · DFW → GCK

took off 2:07 PM CT · landed 3:13 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at GCK more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±1 pts −10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↑ Visibility down to 1 mi forecast at GCK that day

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GCK (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4836 · DFW → GCK

Odds over time