Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4892 IN THE AIR (OFF 7:02 PM MT, ETA 10:19 PM CT)

Tuesday, September 29 Today

OO 4892 · PHX → MAF

took off 7:02 PM MT · expected to land 10:19 PM CT (scheduled 7:00 PM MT → 10:48 PM CT)

Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts −14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MAF?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PHX that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.34 in

MAF (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.24 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4892 · PHX → MAF

Odds over time

How late will it get to MAF?