Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4914 LANDED 10:19 PM MT, ~14 MIN EARLY · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29

OO 4914 · ORD → ASE

took off 8:58 PM CT · landed 10:19 PM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

ASE (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4914 · ORD → ASE

Odds over time