Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4962 LANDED 11:50 PM CT, ~25 MIN LATE

Tuesday, September 29 Yesterday

OO 4962 · LAX → SAT

took off 7:22 PM PT · landed 11:50 PM CT (scheduled 6:22 PM PT → 11:29 PM CT)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SAT?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ LAX is busy at that time

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAT (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4962 · LAX → SAT

Odds over time

How late did it get to SAT?