OO 4983 · CID → PHX

took off 7:20 AM CT · landed 8:41 AM MT (scheduled 7:50 AM CT → 9:16 AM MT)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PHX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PHX that day

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↑ PHX is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from CID are usually not late

Weather at each end

CID (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.11 in

PHX (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.34 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4983 · CID → PHX

Odds over time

How late did it get to PHX?