Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4995
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Yesterday
OO 4995 · PHX → GJT
departs 8:48 AM MT · arrives 11:31 AM MT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 9/29
Today 12%
Thu 10/1 9%
Fri 10/2 8%
Sat 10/3 10%
Sun 10/4 12%
Mon 10/5 11%
Tue 10/6 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at GJT more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GJT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at GJT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to GJT?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PHX that day
↑
PHX is busy at that time
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at GJT
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 0.34 in
GJT (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 5,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.