OO 5222 · BZN → LAX

took off 1:40 PM MT · expected to land 2:50 PM PT (scheduled 1:41 PM MT → 3:45 PM PT)

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LAX?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ LAX is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 15% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ BZN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BZN (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5222 · BZN → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?