OO 5376 · ORD → LEX

took off 2:45 PM CT · landed 4:36 PM ET (scheduled 2:50 PM CT → 5:26 PM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at LEX more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LEX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LEX

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

LEX (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5376 · ORD → LEX

Odds over time

How late did it get to LEX?