OO 5398 · ORD → ICT

departs 3:57 PM CT · arrives 6:00 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ICT?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ICT that day

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ ICT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

ICT (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.30 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5398 · ORD → ICT

Odds over time

How late will it get to ICT?