OO 5523 · MRY → LAX

took off 2:35 PM PT · landed 3:28 PM PT (scheduled 1:54 PM PT → 3:35 PM PT)

Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LAX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ LAX is busy at that time

↓ Other factors

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MRY (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5523 · MRY → LAX

Odds over time

How late did it get to LAX?