Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5577 LANDED 5:56 PM PT, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Yesterday

OO 5577 · GPI → SFO

took off 5:54 PM -05 · landed 5:56 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at GPI

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

GPI (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

SFO (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5577 · GPI → SFO

Odds over time