Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5628 LANDED 7:20 PM PT, ~66 MIN EARLY

Tuesday, September 29 Today

OO 5628 · SMF → LAX

took off 6:21 PM PT · landed 7:20 PM PT (scheduled 6:47 PM PT → 8:39 PM PT)

Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LAX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↑ 6pm departures from SMF are often late

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ This flight has been late 8% of the time recently

Weather at each end

SMF (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5628 · SMF → LAX

Odds over time

How late did it get to LAX?