Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5630
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Yesterday
OO 5630 · ICT → DEN
departs 5:15 PM CT · arrives 6:17 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 9/29
Today 62%
Thu 10/1 39%
Fri 10/2 30%
Sat 10/3 26%
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 24%
Tue 10/6 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
−13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave ICT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ICT that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
Weather at each end
ICT (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.30 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.