OO 5775 · DEN → ASE

took off 5:37 PM MT · expected to land 5:59 PM MT (scheduled 5:25 PM MT → 6:29 PM MT)

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ASE?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at ASE

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ASE (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5775 · DEN → ASE

Odds over time

How late will it get to ASE?