Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6187
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
OO 6187 · LAX → XNA
departs 5:49 PM PT · arrives 11:17 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 15%
Thu 10/1 19%
Fri 10/2 15%
Sat 10/3 12%
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at XNA more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at XNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at XNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to XNA?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
5pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
LAX is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
XNA (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.