Schedule: a typical summer Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6213
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29
OO 6213 · MKE → ORD
departs 7:25 AM CT · arrives 8:47 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 14h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 9/29
Today 19%
Mon 10/5 14%
Fri 10/9 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave MKE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ORD that day
↑
This flight has been late 22% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MKE
Weather at each end
MKE (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 10,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.