Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6356
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
OO 6356 · SBA → PHX
departs 9:45 AM PT · arrives 11:26 AM MT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 20%
Sat 10/3 17%
Mon 10/5 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave SBA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PHX that day
↑
PHX is prone to delays
↑
9am departures from SBA are often late
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Gusts to 28 kt forecast at SBA that day
Weather at each end
SBA (origin)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PHX (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 0.33 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.