Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6452
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
OO 6452 · PHX → FSD
departs 6:54 PM MT · arrives 11:57 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 19%
Thu 10/1 18%
Fri 10/2 20%
Sat 10/3 18%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at FSD more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FSD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at FSD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FSD?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from PHX are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
PHX is busy at that time
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 0.67 in
FSD (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 0.40 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.