Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6491 LANDED 6:46 PM MT, ~3 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

OO 6491 · PHX → GJT

took off 4:42 PM MT · landed 6:46 PM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at GJT more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PHX that day

↑ 4pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ GJT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.34 in

GJT (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6491 · PHX → GJT

Odds over time