QX 2082 · ANC → FAI

took off 8:21 PM AKT · landed 9:05 PM AKT (scheduled 8:14 PM AKT → 9:27 PM AKT)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at FAI more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late did it get to FAI?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at FAI that day

↑ 8pm departures from ANC are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ANC

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

FAI (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2082 · ANC → FAI

Odds over time

How late did it get to FAI?