QX 2120 · SEA → ALW

took off 1:39 PM PT · landed 2:15 PM PT (scheduled 12:03 PM PT → 1:12 PM PT)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at ALW more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ALW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from SEA are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ SEA is busy at that time

↓ ALW usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into ALW at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.04 in

ALW (destination) Gusts31 kt Ceiling8,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2120 · SEA → ALW

Odds over time

How late did it get to ALW?