QX 2144 · SEA → GEG

took off 2:08 PM PT · landed 2:45 PM PT (scheduled 12:24 PM PT → 1:34 PM PT)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at GEG more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to GEG?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from SEA are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ SEA is busy at that time

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into GEG at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.04 in

GEG (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2144 · SEA → GEG

Odds over time

How late did it get to GEG?