Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2182 LANDED 6:37 PM MT, ~4 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

QX 2182 · SEA → ELP

took off 2:36 PM PT · landed 6:37 PM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 37 kt, cloud base down to 900 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at ELP that day

↑ 2pm departures from SEA are often late

↑ SEA is busy at that time

↓ ELP usually runs smoothly

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.03 in

ELP (destination) Gusts37 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.44 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2182 · SEA → ELP

Odds over time