QX 2191 · SEA → EUG

took off 1:14 PM PT · landed 1:56 PM PT (scheduled 12:27 PM PT → 1:40 PM PT)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at EUG more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to EUG?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from SEA are often late

↑ SEA is busy at that time

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at SEA that day

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EUG

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.04 in

EUG (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling4,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2191 · SEA → EUG

Odds over time

How late did it get to EUG?