Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2344 LANDED 6:27 PM PT, ~11 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29

QX 2344 · SEA → RDM

took off 5:44 PM PT · landed 6:27 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at RDM more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from SEA are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ SEA is busy at that time

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ RDM usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.04 in

RDM (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2344 · SEA → RDM

Odds over time