Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2444 LANDED 4:34 PM MT, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Yesterday

QX 2444 · SEA → GTF

took off 2:27 PM PT · landed 4:34 PM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at GTF more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 43 kt forecast at GTF that day

↑ Other factors

↑ SEA is busy at that time

↓ GTF usually runs smoothly

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.04 in

GTF (destination) Gusts43 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2444 · SEA → GTF

Odds over time