tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1107 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 1107 · ORD → SNA

departs 4:20 PM CT · arrives 6:52 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
25% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 2.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SNA?

  1. On time or early
    74%
  2. 15–30 min late
    11%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    8%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.