Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1435 LANDED 9:32 AM MT, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29

UA 1435 · TUL → DEN

took off 9:06 AM CT · landed 9:32 AM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TUL

Weather at each end

TUL (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1435 · TUL → DEN

Odds over time