Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1496 LANDED 3:31 PM CT, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

UA 1496 · LAX → AUS

took off 10:58 AM PT · landed 3:31 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1496 · LAX → AUS

Odds over time