UA 1544 · LAX → RNO

took off 1:44 PM PT · landed 2:53 PM PT (scheduled 1:02 PM PT → 2:29 PM PT)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to RNO?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ LAX is busy at that time

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RNO

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RNO (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1544 · LAX → RNO

Odds over time

How late did it get to RNO?