Schedule: a typical summer Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1640SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 1640 · FAI → ORD
departs 8:45 PM AKT · arrives 5:42 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 3h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
23%chance · ±1 pts+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREHigh. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.