Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1728 LANDED 4:25 PM MT, ~1 MIN LATE

Tuesday, September 29

UA 1728 · ELP → DEN

took off 2:57 PM MT · landed 4:25 PM MT (scheduled 2:32 PM MT → 4:38 PM MT)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DEN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Gusts to 37 kt, cloud base down to 900 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, thunderstorms forecast at ELP that day

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ ELP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ELP (origin) Gusts37 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.23 in

DEN (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1728 · ELP → DEN

Odds over time

How late did it get to DEN?