Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1743 LANDED 3:34 PM CT, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29

UA 1743 · RSW → IAH

took off 2:20 PM ET · landed 3:34 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ IAH is prone to delays

↑ 2pm departures from RSW are often late

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ This flight has been late 12% of the time recently

Weather at each end

RSW (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling3,400 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.12 in

IAH (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1743 · RSW → IAH

Odds over time