UA 2228 · IAH → SEA

took off 1:19 PM CT · landed 3:29 PM PT (scheduled 12:08 PM CT → 2:58 PM PT)

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SEA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at SEA that day

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ 12pm departures from IAH are often late

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2228 · IAH → SEA

Odds over time

How late did it get to SEA?