UA 2763 · EWR → BOS

departs 6:00 PM ET · arrives 7:28 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±4 pts −20 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
24%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ 6pm departures from EWR are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 1,200 ft forecast at EWR that day

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2763 · EWR → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?