Schedule: FAA flight plans.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2861
LANDED 5:40 PM ET, ~30 MIN EARLY
UA 2861 · IAD → MCO
took off 3:55 PM ET · landed 5:40 PM ET (scheduled 3:46 PM ET → 6:20 PM ET)
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Not late
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
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How late did it get to MCO?
RESOLVED
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On time or early
✓
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15–30 min late
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30 min–1 hour late
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1–2 hours late
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Over 2 hours late
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Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.