Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 323 LANDED 10:03 AM MT, ~12 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29

UA 323 · SNA → DEN

took off 7:16 AM PT · landed 10:03 AM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SNA

↓ 7am departures from SNA are usually not late

Weather at each end

SNA (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 323 · SNA → DEN

Odds over time