UA 547 · SJD → LAX

departs 12:25 PM MST · arrives 2:59 PM PT

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SJD

↓ Other factors

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SJD (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

LAX (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 547 · SJD → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?