Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 692 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, September 29

UA 692 · IAH → SEA

departs 6:30 PM CT · arrives 9:18 PM PT

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late

↑ 6pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at SEA that day

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 692 · IAH → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?